Wimbledon (3rd round): Sonego – Duckworth and Hurkacz – Bublik

Lorenzo Sonego – James Duckworth

It’s hard not to miss James Duckworth’s first two performances. Also, I can only imagine him putting Lorenzo Sonego in trouble if he plays the way he did in his first two matches.

The Aussie is efficient on the retry and this allows him to get the rallies going more than once (even against big servers like Querrey who, for the time being, has lost his Joker smile). In rallies, Duckworth is able to play very direct tennis which makes sense on this surface. His ability to get to the net quickly is also noteworthy, which is not insignificant against a Lorenzo Sonego who is sometimes far behind his line.

The Italian is no slouch on grass. However, it’s important to remember that he’s not really on his preferred surface and can still force things. Sonego is a good player from the baseline, but he tends not to get out of his defensive phases. So I’m going to focus on the current good momentum of his opponent of the day.

Prediction: James Duckworth

High risk

Hubert Hurkacz – Alexander Bublik

Two players who are impeccable at serving and who are playing on a very fast surface. On paper, it is therefore difficult to separate them.

If we put the qualities of these two players on service, then I have a clear preference for Alexander Bublik. Indeed, the Kazakh is more at ease on grass. He is also more talented on the backhand side (mainly played with a slice effect) and he is able to be unpredictable. Hubert Hurkacz can have a hard time changing strategy when his style of play doesn’t bother his opponents, while Alexander Bublik is quite unpredictable. I like his ability to play surprising bunts that are sure to leave the Polish player standing. The latter can be quite heavy when forced to make forward runs at the last moment.

This prediction might deserve a little more confidence. However, I can’t get past Alexander Bublik’s inconsistency and the fact that both of these guys can be unplayable if they pass their first few balls. Between 3 and 5 tiebreaks in the match? Hehe.

Prediction: Alexander Bublik

High risk

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