Novak Djokovic – Marton Fucsovics
Marton Fucsovics played a nice match to beat Andrey Rublev. However, it was the Russian who had trouble spreading his wings. It could still be a different story for the Hungarian who will face a player in form and the favorite for the title.
Novak Djokovic hasn’t really had any trouble since the beginning of the tournament. He is at Wimbledon to go all the way and the current quality of his tennis should not prevent him from winning against Marton Fucsovics (even less in this 3 set win format).
Prediction: Novak Djokovic
Karen Khachanov – Denis Shapovalov
Both of these guys will be playing a Grand Slam quarterfinal for the second time in their careers, and they have never made it further. Karen Khachanov discovered this level of competition at Roland Garros in 2019, while Denis Shapovalov’s first time was last year at the US Open.
This is something to consider as there could be a lot of tension in this match and it could prevent them from playing naturally.
Karen Khachanov has impressed me since the beginning of this competition and I want to believe in his chances to reach his first Grand Slam semi-final.
I find the Russian slightly more reliable on serve. If we put aside his last set against Korda (and what a set it was!), Khachanov doesn’t concede as many chances as Shapovalov. But more importantly, he is able to win more free points. The Canadian is having trouble reaching 60% on his first balls and he is discovering himself much more on his seconds. He also makes more double faults, which indirectly gives his opponents more free points.
The backcourt battle will undoubtedly be important and Denis Shapovalov could indeed succeed in getting the upper hand thanks to his speed of execution and explosive shots. Nevertheless, Karen Khachanov’s level of play is far from being ugly at the moment. He knows how to keep up with his opponents and he has the power to calm the Canadian down. In fact, the latter could be punished by the Russian as soon as he plays a shot that is too neutral. Khachanov has been playing these shots to the hilt since the beginning of the tournament and there is no reason why he shouldn’t keep the same line.
I don’t expect a one-sided match here. I won’t be surprised to see a match with a lot of tension in 4 or 5 sets. Denis Shapovalov should be the favorite to win, but I can’t put aside Karen Khachanov’s recent performance. If he plays at the same level, then he is quite capable of knocking off the Canadian.
Prediction: Karen Khachanov