Rotterdam (1st round): Alex De Minaur – John Millman

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This will be the second time these two Australians will meet, after Zhuhai in 2019 where Alex De Minaur won 6-1 6-3.

Tournament history

This will be the first time that Alex De Minaur and John Millman will participate in the Rotterdam ATP 500.

Analysis

John Millman is far from offering extraordinary tennis since the beginning of the season. As a result, he has won only one of the 4 matches he has played. One could imagine that he will have had the advantage of having played his last match in these indoor conditions. However, I doubt it would make a real difference here.

Alex De Minaur is no joke on this surface. The young Australian has already participated in 10 indoor ATP tournaments. He was eliminated only twice in the 1st round (in 2018) and reached the final 4 times (he didn’t win any unfortunately).

John Millman has played in 15 ATP Indoor tournaments and has only reached the quarter-finals three times. It should be noted that his last two times were in 2020 (including the Nur-Sultan trophy lifted).

Tennistically speaking, I don’t expect to see the big, eye-catching Millman, who can drop a backhand and make effective returns all the time. I still think he will have some possibilities on Alex De Minaur’s commitments. Let’s not forget that the young Australian is still a little nervous when he has to serve seconds.

Alex De Minaur seems to me to be a step ahead of his compatriot. John Millman should avoid getting caught up in his rally. He will take risks and I don’t see him having a very high percentage of efficiency. Moreover, Alex De Minaur will be able to play on his early ball to nibble time at his opponent and force him to play a bit too fast (you will have understood that, to commit faults).

The hardest part is yet to come for Alex De Minaur. He will indeed face Nishikori or Auger-Aliassime in the 2nd round. Well, he still has to pass the small Millman obstacle. We agree.

Prediction: Alex De Minaur wins

Low risk

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