This will be the fourth time these two men will compete against each other.
Aljaz Bedene won the first two matches in 2019, while Jannik Sinner managed to get his revenge in early February in Melbourne.
This will be the third time that Aljaz Bedene participates in this ATP 250 in Montpellier. He was eliminated in the 1st round last year against Vasek Pospisil, and never managed to get past the 2nd round (during his first participation in 2017).
For his part, Jannik Sinner will participate in this French tournament for the second year in a row. He had fallen at the beginning in 2020, against Mikael Ymer (in 2 sets).
Since the end of last season, Jannik Sinner has reached a milestone. The gifted 19-year-old still lacks maturity and patience, but he already offers an attractive tennis game.
Jannik Sinner seems to me to have all the cards in hand to win against this opponent. Aljaz Bedene is not to be taken lightly. He’s an excellent defender who could succeed in forcing the youngster to play an extra move and make faults. It should also be noted that his first balls are good and that he knows how to release some explosive forehand shots.
I still think Jannik Sinner has the advantage of the surface. The Italian is doing extremely well indoors, where he has already won two ATP trophies (Next Gen Final 2019 and Sofia 2020). He is much more complete than Bedene, who should stay behind his line most of the time. Sinner also knows how to be solid on his commitments, but it’s in the game that I see him making the difference. Especially in his ability to play aggressively but above all to take the ball very early. The Italian’s speed of execution should therefore disturb Aljaz Bedene.
On the other hand, it should be noted that Aljaz Bedene does not have the best backhand on the circuit, while his opponent’s is very dangerous. It’s a move that allows him to speed up the game and make many winning shots (and his long lines are often delicious).
If Jannik Sinner’s shots stay inside the court, then I doubt that Aljaz Bedene can do anything. Nevertheless, the Slovenian is an experienced player who could play on that to make the task much harder than expected for the current 32nd in the world.
Prediction: Jannik Sinner wins