Montpellier (1/4 final): Lorenzo Sonego – David Goffin

Latest confrontations

This will be a first between these two players.

Tournament history

This is the first time that Lorenzo Sonego participates in this tournament in Montpellier.

For his part, David Goffin is playing this ATP 250 for the fourth time in his career. This is the third time he has reached the quarter-finals and he has never lost at this level of competition. Finally, his best performance is a semi-final in 2018 and 2020.

In this edition

David Goffin won his first round match against Benjamin Bonzi in his second round debut. A victory in 3 sets and 2h30 of play.

Lorenzo Sonego, as for him, had to go through the 1st round where he defeated Hugo Gaston in 3 sets (including a lost tie-break). The Italian then faced Sebastian Korda in the 2nd round.

Analysis

On this surface, it is obvious that David Goffin must eat Lorenzo Sonego if he is at his best. But that’s precisely the problem: the Belgian hasn’t been able to be at his best lately.

The most frustrating part of this story is that Goffin shows in all his matches that he has lost none of his tennis skills. Able to defend very well, take the ball early and go for his points, the Belgian has really got what it takes to beat Lorenzo Sonego.

The problem is that the current 15th in the world is very irregular at the moment. It makes a lot of vulgar faults and lacks solidity when the rally takes place. In fact, I didn’t really feel comfortable with him very often in his first match against Benjamin Bonzi. Lorenzo Sonego, whom I find very motivated this week, hits the ball hard and he could play on that as soon as the Belgian offers him a shot that is too neutral (and that will happen).

On serve, let’s highlight David Goffin’s little second balls that are still playing against him. Also, against Benjamin Bonzi, he only managed 64% of first balls but lost 57% of the points on his seconds. This explains why he conceded no less than 19 break balls (14 saved, fortunately for him).

Lorenzo Sonego is much less feverish about his services. He manages to win more free points and his seconds are less annoying. Finally, he especially concedes fewer chances (only 7 break balls conceded in 2 matches, 4 of which were saved).

David Goffin is a very good receiver, which could succeed in destabilizing Lorenzo Sonego. However, I’m betting on the Belgian’s poor form and the Italian’s current good momentum to see the latter leave with victory.

Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego wins

High risk

Share
Tweet
WhatsApp
Telegram
Partagez cet article à un ami