Madrid (2nd round): Diego Schwartzman – Aslan Karatsev

Latest confrontations

These two players have already faced each other once. It was earlier this year at the Australian Open, and Aslan Karatsev won 6-3 6-3.

Tournament history

This will be Diego Schwartzman’s fourth appearance in this Madrid Masters 1000. He has been eliminated twice in the 2nd round, and his best performance is a 1/8 final in 2018.

Aslan Karatsev is playing in the final draw of this tournament for the first time in his career.

In this edition

Diego Schwartzman takes advantage of his ranking to skip the 1st round.

Aslan Karatsev won his first match against Ugo Humbert (in 2 sets).

Analysis

When I first saw this poster, I thought Diego Schwartzman was going to have a tough time. Indeed, Aslan Karatsev has everything it takes to counter the style of play of the little Argentine.

Diego Schwartzman is on his preferred surface. He is an oppressive player who rarely gives his opponents an easy time. He is a very mobile player who knows how to return many balls, while adding a little bit of aggressiveness that makes him an excellent ground player.

Now, we must also put forward Aslan Karatsev and his ability not to depend on his opponents. The Russian doesn’t really try to understand who he has in front of him. He plays in a very aggressive way to get the points by himself. It is this type of player that often hurts Diego Schwartzman as he can quickly find himself without a solution if he is always under pressure.

I see the offensive and very direct tennis of Aslan Karatsev breaking the small Argentine wall. The speed of the ball (linked to the Madrid conditions) could also be an advantage for the Russian tennis.

I have no doubt that Aslan Karatsev will win. He has all the cards in hand to win. But the Russian has to play them correctly (do you see the frustrating weaknesses?).

Prediction: Aslan Karatsev wins

Medium risk

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