Cincinnati (1st round): Grigor Dimitrov – Ugo Humbert

Last confrontation

These two players have already crossed paths once. It was last year at the Masters 1000 of Paris-Bercy (indoor). Grigor Dimitrov won in 3 sets.

Tournament history

You should know that this tournament is not played in Cincinnati but in Flushing Meadows this year. The playing conditions are therefore quite different from previous editions.

Grigor Dimitrov knows this Masters 1000 well, having played it 8 times. He lifted the trophy once, in 2017. Last season, he was eliminated in the first round by Stan Wawrinka. It was the first time he was knocked out in Cincinnati.

As for Ugo Humbert, he will participate in the final draw of this tournament for the first time in his career.

Analysis

I like this match. Oh, yes, I like it.

Grigor Dimitrov had the misfortune of catching Covid-19 during the Adria Tour, and that was really not cool for him. Indeed, he developed a rather serious form that required hospitalization. Even though the virus is no longer there, the Bulgarian hasn’t fully recovered (he has lost weight, by the way). During the UTS played at the end of July, he had a lot of empty periods. He felt drained and unable to recover properly after some rallies. All this to say that I don’t expect to see Grigor Dimitrov 100% for Cincinnati (as for the US Open by the way).

So Ugo Humbert has a great card to play in this match. The Frenchman will undoubtedly be in better physical shape to tackle this recovery match. He will also play in a place he knows since it’s played in the US Open facilities he’s been attending for 2 years now.

Tennistically speaking, it must also be said that Grigor Dimitrov has been struggling to regain a decent and sustainable level for a very long time now. He manages to play like a top 10 player, using in particular his incredible technique and playing intelligence. But he still has too many gaps that could become more pronounced because of his current form.

Ugo Humbert has this ability to play aggressively, and to smother his opponents with his left paw. He knows how to hit the ball fast and hard. I have no doubt in his ability to master this Dimitrov 2020 version.

We’re talking about a weakened Bulgarian, yes. But that shouldn’t stop him from pulling off a few pleasant tricks. He’s still a dangerous player, hence the low confidence.

Prediction: Ugo Humbert wins

High risk

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