Australian Open (1/8 final): Dominic Thiem – Grigor Dimitrov

Latest confrontations

These two confirmed ATP Tour players have already met 5 times in official matches. Grigor Dimitrov leads in this head-to-head with 3 victories.

Note that the Bulgarian won 3 of the 4 matches played on this surface.

Tournament history

Dominic Thiem plays the Australian Open for the 8th time in his career. He reached the 1/8 finals for the 4th time and only managed to pass them once. It was last year to reach the final (defeat against Novak Djokovic).

Grigor Dimitrov is competing in his 11th Australian Open. The Bulgarian arrives at this level of competition for the 6th time in his career. He has already passed this round 3 times, and his best performance is a semi-final in 2017. He was also eliminated in the second round last year.

In this edition

Dominic Thiem won in 3 sets in his first two matches against Kukushkin and Koepfer. The Austrian then had a big scare against Nick Kyrgios. He managed to win this match after losing the first 2 sets. Phew.

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Marin Cilic, Alex Bolt and Pablo Carreno Busta. The latter gave up in the second set.

Analysis

Dominic Thiem really struggled to get rid of Nick Kyrgios. In spite of the difficulty, one must still highlight the Austrian’s physique which allowed him to play with a lot of intensity for more than 3 hours.

What is interesting in this new match is that Thiem’s new opponent is also very good physically. Grigor Dimitrov is able to play for a long time, and he has already proven many times that he can play at a high level. On top of that, the Bulgarian has played some very good matches in this tournament in the past. I especially remember his semi-final loss in 2017 when he managed to get Rafael Nadal into a 5 set (the match lasted almost 5 hours).

Dominic Thiem could therefore have an opponent of his height for this 1/8 final. Especially since it’s been a long time since he hasn’t won on this surface against Grigor Dimitrov (we have to go back to 2016 in Acapulco).

Since the beginning of the competition, Grigor Dimitrov has shown a great solidity in service. In his first two matches (I don’t count the last one against Carreno Busta who gave up), the Bulgarian only lost his serve once and flirted with the first 70% of the balls. Not to mention his ability to win free points (29 aces in two matches).

In the rallies, we could see some very good battles if these two players manage to evolve at their top level. We no longer present Thiem and his ability to hit the ball very hard. Dimitrov may not be as powerful but he is still able to drop explosive shots. It is also worth noting that the early catch of the ball and the net technique of the 21st world player may upset the current 3rd more than once.

What leads me to believe that Dominic Thiem will come out of this trap is that he seems more regular and, once again, at the top physically. Grigor Dimitrov has not yet recovered his 2017 level. His numerous empty runs could be a major factor against an opponent of this caliber. Dominic Thiem has made good progress in their last official confrontation, and Grigor Dimitrov could be aware of this.

A match in 4 or 5 sets is to be considered here.

Prediction: Dominic Thiem wins

High risk

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